The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castellon B 46.6%
Draw 26.4%
La Nucía 27%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.1%
25.7%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.6%
24.9%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Castellon B - La Nucía Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Lidon G. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Perez J. V. ⚽,
45+2', Christian 🟥,
45+4', Mendibe M. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 1, Perez J. V. ⚽,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 5th in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).
Castellon B is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
La Nucía has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Castellon B is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Castellon B has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:6 (averaging 1:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Castellon B against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals.
Spain
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