The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castellonense 72%
Draw 19.2%
Crevillente Deportivo 8.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.2%
22.7%
15.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66%
21.4%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellonense's performance.
Crevillente Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crevillente Deportivo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellonense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crevillente Deportivo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crevillente Deportivo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Castellonense - Crevillente Deportivo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: ) and 15).
Castellonense is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Crevillente's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Castellonense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Castellonense is the undisputed favorite.
We predict that Castellonense will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Castellonense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).
Including home match between the teams, Castellonense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.