Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Soneja		Castellonense

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.92	1.98
	3.81	2.92	2.02
	4.64	1.92	2.91	Watch
	3.71	2.93	2.04
	3.65	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.68)	2.76 ↓ (3.1)	2.19 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Soneja
23.8%

Draw
33.7%

Castellonense
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

29.3%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

28.4%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Soneja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Soneja than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (+5%)

Soneja - Castellonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Soneja has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Castellonense is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Castellonense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Castellonense could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Soneja won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Soneja won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Soneja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
02.11.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Soneja	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Soneja - Villarreal C	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	La Nucía - Soneja	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Soneja - Crevillente Deportivo	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Atlético Saguntino - Soneja	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTLL
- UD Castellonense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
02.11.25	Castellonense - Buñol	4:1 ✺
29.10.25	Alzira - Castellonense	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Utiel - Castellonense	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Castellonense - Vall de Uxó	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Castellonense - Español de San Vicente	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
22.03.25	Castellonense - Soneja	0:2
22.01.25	Soneja - Castellonense	0:1
06.04.24	Soneja - Castellonense	1:1
19.11.23	Castellonense - Soneja	2:1

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