Match Info

Date: 28 February 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Castelnuovo Vomano		Aprilia

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.33
	1.6	3.85	4.25
	1.61	3.7	4.6
	1.57	3.8	4.75
	1.59	3.8	4.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.58)	3.79 ↓ (3.8)	4.51 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelnuovo Vomano
56.3%

Draw
23.7%

Aprilia
19.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.1%

23.7%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

19.5%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelnuovo Vomano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Aprilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelnuovo Vomano than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castelnuovo Vomano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aprilia than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Castelnuovo Vomano - Aprilia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie D to Group A and 10).

Castelnuovo Vomano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Aprilia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castelnuovo Vomano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Castelnuovo Vomano is a favorite.

Recent matches Aprilia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Castelnuovo Vomano
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.02.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Roma City	2:2 ✺
14.02.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Giulianova	5:1 ✺
07.02.21	Rieti - Castelnuovo Vomano	3:4 ✺
31.01.21	Tolentino - Castelnuovo Vomano	2:2 ✺
24.01.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Recanatese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWTW
- Aprilia
Italian Serie D - Group F
24.02.21	Aprilia - Castelfidardo	1:1 ✺
21.02.21	Campobasso - Aprilia	1:0 ✺
14.02.21	Cynthialbalonga - Aprilia	0:0 ✺
07.02.21	Aprilia - Montegiorgio	2:1 ✺
03.02.21	Aprilia - Olympia Agnonese	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLTWW

Castelnuovo Vomano - Aprilia

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Castelnuovo Vomano - Aprilia Predictions

Preview

Form

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