Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Tolentino		Castelnuovo Vomano

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.3
	1.95	3.3	3.3
	1.93	3.2	3.3
	1.95	3.29	3.25
	2.05	3.13	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.21)	3.24 ↑ (3.04)	3.34 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolentino
45.6%

Draw
27.6%

Castelnuovo Vomano
26.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.3%

28.6%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

19.9%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tolentino's performance.

Castelnuovo Vomano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castelnuovo Vomano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tolentino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelnuovo Vomano than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Tolentino - Castelnuovo Vomano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 10).

Recent matches Tolentino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castelnuovo Vomano is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Castelnuovo Vomano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tolentino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Tolentino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Tolentino
Italian Serie D - Group F
08.12.21	Chieti - Tolentino	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Tolentino - Notaresco	2:0 ✺
28.11.21	Castelfidardo - Tolentino	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Tolentino - Matese	2:1 ✺
14.11.21	Fano - Tolentino	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWTWL
- ASD Castelnuovo Vomano
Italian Serie D - Group F
08.12.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Nereto	3:3 ✺
05.12.21	Sambenedettese - Castelnuovo Vomano	2:0 ✺
24.11.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Recanatese	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Notaresco - Castelnuovo Vomano	3:3 ✺
14.11.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Trastevere	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
31.01.21	Tolentino - Castelnuovo Vomano	2:2

Tolentino - Castelnuovo Vomano

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Tolentino - Castelnuovo Vomano Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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