Match Info

Date: 19 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Castelnuovo Vomano		Porto DAscoli

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.25	2.1
	3	3.2	2.15
	2.8	3.2	2.17
	2.97	3.22	2.09
	3.08	3.32	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.45)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	2.14 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelnuovo Vomano
30.4%

Draw
27.7%

Porto DAscoli
42%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

20.4%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelnuovo Vomano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castelnuovo Vomano's form might have worsened.

Porto DAscoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Porto DAscoli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelnuovo Vomano than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto DAscoli than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto DAscoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Castelnuovo Vomano - Porto DAscoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Castelnuovo Vomano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Porto D'Ascoli is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Porto D'Ascoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Castelnuovo Vomano
Italian Serie D - Group F
15.12.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Roma City	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Tolentino - Castelnuovo Vomano	3:0 ✺
08.12.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Nereto	3:3 ✺
05.12.21	Sambenedettese - Castelnuovo Vomano	2:0 ✺
24.11.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Recanatese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTLL
- SSD Porto DAscoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.12.21	Porto DAscoli - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	3:2 ✺
08.12.21	Porto DAscoli - Roma City	1:0 ✺
05.12.21	Nereto - Porto DAscoli	1:2 ✺
28.11.21	Porto DAscoli - Recanatese	0:0 ✺
21.11.21	Trastevere - Porto DAscoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWTL

Castelnuovo Vomano - Porto DAscoli

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Castelnuovo Vomano - Porto DAscoli Predictions

Preview

Form

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