Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	Sambenedettese		Castelnuovo Vomano

	1	X	2
	2.87	3	2.2
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.55	2.95	2.55
	2.81	3	2.3
	2.61	3.72	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.84)	3.13 ↓ (3.4)	2.36 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
33.2%

Draw
28.7%

Castelnuovo Vomano
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

26.9%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

18.5%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Castelnuovo Vomano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sambenedettese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelnuovo Vomano than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castelnuovo Vomano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sambenedettese - Castelnuovo Vomano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sambenedettese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
28.11.21	Matese - Sambenedettese	3:1 ✺
21.11.21	Sambenedettese - Chieti	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
17.11.21	Sambenedettese - Notaresco	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.11.21	Vastese - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Sambenedettese - Castelfidardo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTWLW
- ASD Castelnuovo Vomano
Italian Serie D - Group F
24.11.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Recanatese	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Notaresco - Castelnuovo Vomano	3:3 ✺
14.11.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Trastevere	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Chieti - Castelnuovo Vomano	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTLWW

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