Match Info

Date: 20 March 2022, Sunday


	Castelnuovo Vomano		Sassari Torres

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.15	1.85
	3.65	3.15	1.85
	2.62	3.2	2.38
	3.32	3.24	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.63)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	2.03 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelnuovo Vomano
27.3%

Draw
28.3%

Sassari Torres
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.1%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

29.6%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelnuovo Vomano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castelnuovo Vomano's form might have worsened.

Sassari Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sassari Torres's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelnuovo Vomano than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castelnuovo Vomano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassari Torres than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Castelnuovo Vomano - Sassari Torres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Castelnuovo Vomano is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Torres is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Torres could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Castelnuovo Vomano have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Castelnuovo Vomano
Italian Serie D - Group F
13.03.22	Recanatese - Castelnuovo Vomano	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
09.03.22	Cynthialbalonga - Castelnuovo Vomano	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
06.03.22	Castelnuovo Vomano - Matese	3:1 ✺
02.03.22	Fano - Castelnuovo Vomano	2:1 ✺
27.02.22	Aurora Alto Casertano - Castelnuovo Vomano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 WWWLT
- Sassari Torres 1903
Italian Serie D - Group G
13.03.22	Sassari Torres - Nuova Florida	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Sassari Torres - Ostia Mare	1:0 ✺
26.02.22	Real Monterotondo - Sassari Torres	0:0 ✺
20.02.22	Sassari Torres - Cynthialbalonga	1:2 ✺
13.02.22	Cassino - Sassari Torres	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWTLT

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