Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	Recanatese		Castelnuovo Vomano

	1	X	2
	1.47	4	5.5
	1.45	4.1	5.5
	1.46	4.14	5.38
	1.4	4.33	6
	1.49	4.25	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.47)	4.16 ↑ (3.74)	5.59 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recanatese
62.1%

Draw
21.7%

Castelnuovo Vomano
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

24.5%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

14.3%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Castelnuovo Vomano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (-25.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Recanatese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelnuovo Vomano than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castelnuovo Vomano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Recanatese - Castelnuovo Vomano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Recanatese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Recanatese is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Recanatese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Recanatese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie D - Group F
06.03.22	Trastevere - Recanatese	0:3 ✺
27.02.22	Pineto - Recanatese	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	Recanatese - Aurora Alto Casertano	6:0 ✺
13.02.22	Montegiorgio - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
09.02.22	Recanatese - Scandicci	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWTL
- ASD Castelnuovo Vomano
Coppa Italia Serie D
09.03.22	Cynthialbalonga - Castelnuovo Vomano	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
06.03.22	Castelnuovo Vomano - Matese	3:1 ✺
02.03.22	Fano - Castelnuovo Vomano	2:1 ✺
27.02.22	Aurora Alto Casertano - Castelnuovo Vomano	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Castelnuovo Vomano - Castelfidardo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
24.11.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Recanatese	0:1
18.06.21	Recanatese - Castelnuovo Vomano	3:0
24.01.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Recanatese	2:1

Recanatese - Castelnuovo Vomano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide