Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Castilleja		Atlético Central

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.98	2.02
	3.52	2.97	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (3.66)	2.98 ↓ (3)	2.05 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castilleja
25.7%

Draw
30.3%

Atlético Central
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

30.6%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

30.1%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castilleja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Atlético Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castilleja than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Central than the current prediction. (+1%)

Castilleja - Atlético Central Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Gavilan M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Recent form of Castilleja has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético Central has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Castilleja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Atlético Central will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castilleja CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
16.11.25	Utrera - Castilleja	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Castilleja - Dos Hermanas	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Cadiz CF B - Castilleja	7:1 ✺
26.10.25	Castilleja - Ciudad de Lucena	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Castilleja - Sevilla C	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLLLW
- Club Atlético Central
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
16.11.25	Atlético Central - Coria CF	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Ceuta B - Atlético Central	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Atlético Central - Córdoba B	2:5 ✺
26.10.25	Chiclana - Atlético Central	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Atlético Central - Conil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWW

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