Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Castilleja		Ciudad de Lucena

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.75	1.62
	15.05	5.54	1.20	Watch
	4.98	3.25	1.78
	5.4	3.8	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.42 ↑ (7.3)	4.09 ↑ (3.79)	1.54 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castilleja
13.1%

Draw
23.7%

Ciudad de Lucena
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

23.9%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castilleja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Ciudad de Lucena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Castilleja - Ciudad de Lucena Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Castilleja (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Castilleja (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Fuentes H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).

Ciudad de Lucena is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Castilleja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ciudad de Lucena is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Castilleja won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Castilleja won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castilleja CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
12.10.25	Castilleja - Sevilla C	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Castilleja - San Roque de Lepe	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Tomares - Castilleja	0:0 ✺
06.06.21	Castilleja - Lebrijana	1:0 ✺
26.05.21	Cabecense - Castilleja	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WTTWT
- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
19.10.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Coria CF	5:0 ✺
12.10.25	Ceuta B - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Córdoba B	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Chiclana - Ciudad de Lucena	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Conil	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
07.02.21	Ciudad de Lucena - Castilleja	3:1
08.11.20	Castilleja - Ciudad de Lucena	0:3

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