Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 34

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Castilleja		Coria CF

	1	X	2
	25.00	12.79	1.00	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.37 ↑ (1.7)	8.2 ↑ (3.65)	2.55 ↓ (4.2)

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castilleja
12.7%

Draw
20.7%

Coria CF
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

24.9%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

24.3%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castilleja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-40.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castilleja's form might have worsened.

Coria CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+45%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coria CF's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castilleja than the current prediction. (+42.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castilleja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coria CF than the current prediction. (-45.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coria CF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Cruz L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 0 - 2, Acevedo Leon E. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Castilleja is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Castilleja won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Castilleja won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castilleja CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
19.04.26	Chiclana - Castilleja	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Castilleja - Conil	2:2 ✺
02.04.26	Atlético Central - Castilleja	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Castilleja - Utrera	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Dos Hermanas - Castilleja	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29 LTWWL
- Coria CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
19.04.26	Córdoba B - Coria CF	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Coria CF - Chiclana	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Conil - Coria CF	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Coria CF - Atlético Central	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Utrera - Coria CF	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
11.01.26	Coria CF - Castilleja	1:1
28.03.21	Castilleja - Coria CF	1:0
20.12.20	Coria CF - Castilleja	0:4
Club Friendly
30.09.20	Castilleja - Coria CF	0:2

Castilleja - Coria CF: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide