Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 28Date: 29 March 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Spain | WebDirecto |
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Castilleja |
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Utrera |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.05 |
3.35 |
2.02 |
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3.12 |
3.53 |
2.08 |
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3.07 |
3.73 |
2.03 |
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3 |
3.3 |
2.05 |
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3.13 |
3.4 |
2.05 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.07 ↑ (2.92) |
3.46 ↓ (3.51) |
2.05 ↓ (2.1) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castilleja 29.5% | Draw 26.2% | Utrera 44.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castilleja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Utrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castilleja than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (+0.3%)Castilleja - Utrera Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Castilleja will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Utrera will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castilleja won 0.Castilleja has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).Utrera's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Castilleja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Utrera might have a minor edge in this game. We predict that Utrera will win today's game, with odds of 2.1.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Castilleja won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).Including home matches between the teams, Castilleja won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | CD Utrera | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;