Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 17

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Castro		Textil Escudo

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.8	3
	2.25	2.75	2.95
	2.3	2.75	3
	2.38	2.83	3.01
	2.38	2.85	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.3)	2.8 ↑ (2.75)	3.02 (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castro
38.5%

Draw
32%

Textil Escudo
29.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.5%

32.1%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

34%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Castro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Textil Escudo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Textil Escudo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Castro - Textil Escudo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Castro is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Textil Escudo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Castro have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Castro won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Castro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castro FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
14.01.23	Escobedo - Castro	4:1 ✺
08.01.23	Tropezón - Castro	3:1 ✺
17.12.22	Castro - Naval Reinosa	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	Atlético Albericia - Castro	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Cartes - Castro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLTT
- SD Textil Escudo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
15.01.23	Textil Escudo - Cartes	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Textil Escudo - Cayón	0:0 ✺
17.12.22	Vimenor - Textil Escudo	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	Textil Escudo - Revilla	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Solares-Medio Cudeyo - Textil Escudo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
18.09.22	Textil Escudo - Castro	0:0
30.01.22	Castro - Textil Escudo	2:0

Castro - Textil Escudo

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Castro - Textil Escudo Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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