Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 17Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday
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Tropezón |
|
Castro |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.55 |
3.65 |
5.15 |
|
 |
1.58 |
3.62 |
5.65 |
 Watch |
 |
1.57 |
3.5 |
5 |
|
 |
1.49 |
3.62 |
6.48 |
|
 |
1.61 |
3.4 |
5.33 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.6) |
3.56 ↓
(3.65) |
5.52 ↑
(5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tropezón
58.1% | Draw
25.5% | Castro
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tropezón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+1.4%)Tropezón - Castro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 55', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 4.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. In this match, Tropezón is a strong favorite.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:4. (average 1.9:0.5).Including home matches between the teams, Tropezón won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tropezon | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 15 |
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| 11 | Castro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 | | | 24.05.25 | Tropezón - Castro | 2:0 | | 18.05.25 | Castro - Tropezón | 0:1 | | 19.01.25 | Tropezón - Castro | 1:0 | | 25.02.24 | Tropezón - Castro | 2:3 | | 08.10.23 | Castro - Tropezón | 0:2 | | 22.04.23 | Castro - Tropezón | 0:0 | | 08.01.23 | Tropezón - Castro | 3:1 |
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