Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 8

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday


	Castro Daire		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.1
	3.5	2.9	2.02
	3.05	3.15	2.16
	3.35	3.01	2.27
	3.13	3.2	2.22
	3.15	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.35)	3.09 ↑ (2.97)	2.16 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castro Daire
28.5%

Draw
29.4%

Lusitânia
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

30.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

30.5%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castro Daire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro Daire than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Castro Daire - Lusitânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Castro Daire is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lusitânia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lusitânia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Castro Daire won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Castro Daire won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Castro Daire
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.11.22	Gondomar - Castro Daire	3:1 ✺
06.11.22	Castro Daire - Salgueiros 08	1:2 ✺
30.10.22	Rebordosa - Castro Daire	2:0 ✺
23.10.22	Castro Daire - Alpendorada	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Valadares Gaia - Castro Daire	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWT
- Lusitânia FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.11.22	Lusitânia - Beira-Mar	2:2 ✺
06.11.22	Marítimo B - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Lusitânia - Guarda Desportiva	4:1 ✺
23.10.22	Lusitânia - Resende	3:3 ✺
09.10.22	Gondomar - Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.03.21	Castro Daire - Lusitânia	0:3
20.12.20	Lusitânia - Castro Daire	2:0

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