The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lusitânia 39.8%
Draw 29.9%
Chaves 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.7%
33.1%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
33.1%
33.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lusitânia's performance.
Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lusitânia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Lusitânia - Chaves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Liga Portugal and 16th in the Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
Lusitânia is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Chaves have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Chaves may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Lusitânia has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 1.3:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lusitânia against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Lusitania FC
6
5
1
0
11:4
7
16
16
Chaves
6
1
1
4
5:13
-8
4
Last Results with these Odds
Chaves - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 33.13%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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