Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 21

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Castrovillari		Ragusa

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.58
	4.77	3.56	1.6
	4.78	3.56	1.61
	5.09	3.64	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↓ (4.88)	3.59 ↑ (3.59)	1.6 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castrovillari
18.6%

Draw
25.1%

Ragusa
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

25.2%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

23.5%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castrovillari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Ragusa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ragusa than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 9).

Castrovillari is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches USD Ragusa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match USD Ragusa is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Castrovillari won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Castrovillari Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
07.01.24	Città di SantAgata - Castrovillari	3:0 ✺
20.12.23	Gioiese - Castrovillari	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Castrovillari - Licata	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Portici - Castrovillari	5:0 ✺
03.12.23	Castrovillari - Siracusa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWTLL
- Ragusa Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
07.01.24	Ragusa - Trapani	0:3 ✺
17.12.23	Ragusa - Città di SantAgata	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	Gioiese - Ragusa	1:4 ✺
26.11.23	Portici - Ragusa	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Ragusa - Siracusa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
16.09.23	Ragusa - Castrovillari	5:1
16.04.23	Ragusa - Castrovillari	0:0

Castrovillari - Ragusa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide