Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 17

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Portici		Castrovillari

	1	X	2
	1.74	3.44	4.01
	1.75	3.46	4.04
	1.8	3.1	3.75
	1.76	3.5	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.08)	3.38 ↑ (3.22)	3.96 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portici
50.8%

Draw
26.5%

Castrovillari
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

26.7%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portici has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portici's performance.

Castrovillari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castrovillari might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portici than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portici that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castrovillari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Portici - Castrovillari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).

Recent matches Portici is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castrovillari is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Portici will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Portici won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Portici won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portici 1906
Italian Serie D - Group I
03.12.23	Trapani - Portici	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Portici - Ragusa	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Città di SantAgata - Portici	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Portici - Gioiese	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Licata - Portici	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTTWL
- ASD Castrovillari Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
03.12.23	Castrovillari - Siracusa	1:3 ✺
26.11.23	San Luca - Castrovillari	3:3 ✺
12.11.23	Acireale - Castrovillari	3:3 ✺
05.11.23	Castrovillari - Reggina	0:1 ✺
01.11.23	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Castrovillari	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
02.03.22	Portici - Castrovillari	1:0
06.01.19	Castrovillari - Portici	1:3
16.09.18	Portici - Castrovillari	1:1

Portici - Castrovillari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide