Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 19

Date: 20 December 2023, Wednesday


	Gioiese		Castrovillari

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.33	1.38
	6.61	4.48	1.35
	7	4.33	1.3
	7.1	4.65	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.8 ↑ (3.66)	4.45 ↑ (3.42)	1.34 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gioiese
13.2%

Draw
20.1%

Castrovillari
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

26.3%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

24.1%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gioiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gioiese's form might have worsened.

Castrovillari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castrovillari's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gioiese than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gioiese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (-21.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castrovillari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).

Gioiese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Castrovillari is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Castrovillari is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gioiese 1918
Italian Serie D - Group I
17.12.23	Trapani - Gioiese	8:0 ✺
10.12.23	Gioiese - Ragusa	1:4 ✺
03.12.23	Città di SantAgata - Gioiese	6:0 ✺
19.11.23	Gioiese - Licata	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Portici - Gioiese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- ASD Castrovillari Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
17.12.23	Castrovillari - Licata	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Portici - Castrovillari	5:0 ✺
03.12.23	Castrovillari - Siracusa	1:3 ✺
26.11.23	San Luca - Castrovillari	3:3 ✺
12.11.23	Acireale - Castrovillari	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TLLTT

Gioiese - Castrovillari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide