Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 32

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Castrovillari		Acireale

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.87	2.45
	2.84	2.79	2.54
	2.84	2.79	2.54
	2.82	2.79	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.73)	2.81 ↓ (2.97)	2.52 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Castrovillari
32.2%

Draw
32.1%

Acireale
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

30.2%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

31.1%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castrovillari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Acireale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Acireale aligns with the current prediction.

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Zuppel D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Castrovillari won 2.

Castrovillari is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Acireale is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Castrovillari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Castrovillari won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Castrovillari won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Castrovillari Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
17.03.24	Reggina - Castrovillari	3:1 ✺
10.03.24	Castrovillari - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Sancataldese - Castrovillari	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Castrovillari - Locri	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Canicattì - Castrovillari	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTTTL
- Acireale Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
17.03.24	Acireale - Trapani	0:4 ✺
03.03.24	Acireale - Città di SantAgata	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Gioiese - Acireale	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Acireale - Licata	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Portici - Acireale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
12.11.23	Acireale - Castrovillari	3:3
29.01.23	Acireale - Castrovillari	1:2
05.10.22	Castrovillari - Acireale	0:4
27.04.22	Acireale - Castrovillari	0:1
07.11.21	Castrovillari - Acireale	2:2
09.05.21	Acireale - Castrovillari	2:2
27.01.21	Castrovillari - Acireale	1:2

Castrovillari - Acireale: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide