Match Info
Serie D - Group I - Round 8Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Castrumfavara |
|
Ragusa |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.29 |
2.96 |
3.14 |
 Watch |
 |
2.16 |
3 |
3.31 |
|
 |
2.24 |
2.94 |
3.2 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.2) |
2.97 ↑
(2.95) |
3.22 ↑
(3.1) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castrumfavara
40.9% | Draw
30.7% | Ragusa
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrumfavara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Ragusa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ragusa than the current prediction. (+3%)Castrumfavara - Ragusa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).Castrumfavara has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Ragusa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).Ragusa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Ragusa has had a series of home games. Castrumfavara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castrumfavara won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.Including home match between the teams, Castrumfavara won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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