The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Catanduva 53%
Draw 28.6%
XV de Jaú 18.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.2%
26.4%
17.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.2%
22.6%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanduva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
XV de Jaú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanduva than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Catanduva - XV de Jaú Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Santos M. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Bruno Nunes (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 2 - 1, ⚽,
84', 🟥,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4).
Recent matches Catanduva is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
XV de Jaú is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Catanduva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.