Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 11

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Bento de Abreu (Sao Paulo)


	Marília		Catanduva

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.05	3.45
	2.19	2.8	3.41
	2.18	2.95	3.44	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.25
	2.14	2.98	3.37
	2.08	3.05	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.95)	2.96 ↓ (3.13)	3.4 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marília
42.6%

Draw
30.7%

Catanduva
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

29.1%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

28.2%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Catanduva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marília than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marília, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanduva than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Marília - Catanduva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Romario ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 2 - 0, ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
85', 3 - 1, Romario ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Marília could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Marília will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marília won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marília AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
23.02.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Marília	3:1 ✺
19.02.25	União Suzano - Marília	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Marília - EC São Bernardo	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Marília - União São João	2:1 ✺
05.02.25	Lemense FC - Marília	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWT
- Catanduva FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
22.02.25	Catanduva - Lemense FC	3:2 ✺
19.02.25	Catanduva - Atlético Monte Azul	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Desportivo Brasil - Catanduva	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Catanduva - Rio Branco de Americana	0:0 ✺
05.02.25	Comercial SP - Catanduva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
16.03.24	Catanduva - Marília	1:1

Marília - Catanduva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide