Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 8

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Desportivo Brasil		Catanduva

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.75	2.95
	2.42	2.74	3.06
	2.44	2.85	3.05	Watch
	2.4	2.84	3.03
	2.5	2.75	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.65)	2.79 ↓ (2.87)	3.01 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desportivo Brasil
37.1%

Draw
32.7%

Catanduva
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.2%

31.6%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

32.6%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desportivo Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Catanduva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desportivo Brasil than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanduva than the current prediction. (+3%)

Desportivo Brasil - Catanduva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 1 - 0, Lucas Gadelha ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Desportivo Brasil is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Catanduva is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Catanduva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Desportivo Brasil won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Desportivo Brasil won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Brasil
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
12.02.25	XV de Jaú - Desportivo Brasil	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Desportivo Brasil - Comercial SP	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	União São João - Desportivo Brasil	3:3 ✺
02.02.25	EC São Bernardo - Desportivo Brasil	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Desportivo Brasil - Marília	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWTLL
- Catanduva FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
08.02.25	Catanduva - Rio Branco de Americana	0:0 ✺
05.02.25	Comercial SP - Catanduva	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Catanduva - União Suzano	3:1 ✺
29.01.25	Catanduva - EC São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Sertãozinho - Catanduva	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
06.04.24	Catanduva - Desportivo Brasil	0:2 penalties
30.03.24	Desportivo Brasil - Catanduva	0:1

Desportivo Brasil - Catanduva