Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Catanzaro		Mantova

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.30	3.50	2.80
	2.28	3.2	2.95
	2.37	3.46	3
	2.3	3.33	2.97	Watch
	2.3	3.35	2.9
	2.32	3.38	2.91	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.31)	3.33 (3.33)	2.95 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
40.4%

Draw
28%

Mantova
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28.1%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

28.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Catanzaro - Mantova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 3rd in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Semi - finals).

Catanzaro is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Mantova has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Catanzaro has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Catanzaro has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:3 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Catanzaro against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Mantova: 3.19% Catanzaro: 0.97%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	10:5	5	11
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	5:9	-4	3

Last Results with these Odds

Catanzaro - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.46%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
19.09.26	Sampdoria - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Catanzaro - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Pisa - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Vicenza Virtus - Catanzaro	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLL
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
20.09.26	Mantova - Pisa	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Mantova - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Cesena - Mantova	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.09.26	Palermo - Mantova	5:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
30.08.26	Mantova - Empoli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
14.02.26	Catanzaro - Mantova	2:0
29.10.25	Mantova - Catanzaro	1:3
13.05.25	Mantova - Catanzaro	0:0
23.11.24	Catanzaro - Mantova	2:2

Catanzaro - Mantova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide