Match Info

Date: 8 December 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Cattolica San Marino		Este

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Cattolica San Marino
35%

Draw
30.5%

Este
34.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.5%

28.7%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

21%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cattolica San Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Este has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cattolica San Marino than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cattolica San Marino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Este than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Este could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Cattolica has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Este is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cattolica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cattolica Calcio San Marino
Italian Serie D - Group C
04.12.21	Adriese - Cattolica San Marino	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Cattolica San Marino - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:6 ✺
21.11.21	Cattolica San Marino - Luparense	0:3 ✺
14.11.21	Levico Terme - Cattolica San Marino	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Cattolica San Marino - Mestre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLL
- Este
Italian Serie D - Group C
05.12.21	Este - Spinea	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Luparense - Este	0:0 ✺
21.11.21	Este - Cjarlins Muzane	0:1 ✺
14.11.21	Mestre - Este	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Este - Caldiero Terme	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTLWL

Cattolica San Marino - Este