Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Cattolica San Marino		Luparense

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Cattolica San Marino
20.1%

Draw
27.3%

Luparense
52.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.8%

26%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

20.6%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cattolica San Marino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Luparense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cattolica San Marino than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luparense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Cattolica is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Luparense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Luparense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cattolica Calcio San Marino
Italian Serie D - Group C
14.11.21	Levico Terme - Cattolica San Marino	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Cattolica San Marino - Mestre	0:1 ✺
31.10.21	Spinea - Cattolica San Marino	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Cattolica San Marino - Delta Porto Tolle	0:1 ✺
17.10.21	Cjarlins Muzane - Cattolica San Marino	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL
- Luparense FC
Italian Serie D - Group C
14.11.21	Luparense - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Adriese - Luparense	2:0 ✺
30.10.21	Luparense - Levico Terme	4:0 ✺
24.10.21	Luparense - Mestre	2:0 ✺
17.10.21	Spinea - Luparense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWW

Cattolica San Marino - Luparense