Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday


	Luparense		Union ArzignanoChiampo

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.2	2.2
	2.95	3.15	2.15
	2.77	3.07	2.15
	2.29	3.3	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.29)	3.18 ↓ (3.3)	2.34 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luparense
33.2%

Draw
28.3%

Union ArzignanoChiampo
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

20.3%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luparense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luparense's form might have worsened.

Union ArzignanoChiampo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Union ArzignanoChiampo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (+21.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luparense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Union ArzignanoChiampo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Luparense - Union ArzignanoChiampo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

ArzignanoChiampo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Luparense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Luparense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luparense FC
Italian Serie D - Group C
07.11.21	Adriese - Luparense	2:0 ✺
30.10.21	Luparense - Levico Terme	4:0 ✺
24.10.21	Luparense - Mestre	2:0 ✺
17.10.21	Spinea - Luparense	0:3 ✺
10.10.21	Luparense - Delta Porto Tolle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWW
- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie D - Group C
07.11.21	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Cjarlins Muzane	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Mestre - Union ArzignanoChiampo	4:0 ✺
24.10.21	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Caldiero Terme	4:2 ✺
17.10.21	Delta Porto Tolle - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:4 ✺
10.10.21	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Cartigliano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
23.05.21	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Luparense	0:0
24.01.21	Luparense - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1

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