Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday


	Caucaia		Iguatu

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.25
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.09	3.1	3.25
	2.2	2.91	3.18
	2.15	2.9	3.3
	2.2	3.13	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.84)	2.99 ↓ (3.06)	3.23 ↓ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caucaia
41.9%

Draw
30.2%

Iguatu
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

29.4%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

21.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caucaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caucaia's form might have worsened.

Iguatu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Iguatu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caucaia than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caucaia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iguatu than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Caucaia - Iguatu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Caucaia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Iguatu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Iguatu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Caucaia is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Caucaia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Caucaia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caucaia EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
19.02.22	Maracanã - Caucaia	1:1 ✺
16.02.22	Caucaia - Iguatu	0:0 ✺
12.02.22	Caucaia - Atlético Cearense	5:2 ✺
08.02.22	Crato - Caucaia	0:1 ✺
05.02.22	Icasa - Caucaia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTWWT
- AD Iguatu
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
26.02.22	Iguatu - Ceará	2:0 penalties ✺
22.02.22	Ceará - Iguatu	2:1 ✺
19.02.22	Iguatu - Icasa	1:1 ✺
16.02.22	Caucaia - Iguatu	0:0 ✺
12.02.22	Iguatu - Crato	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
16.02.22	Caucaia - Iguatu	0:0
24.01.22	Iguatu - Caucaia	1:2

Caucaia - Iguatu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide