Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO CEARENSE - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Iguatu		Ceará

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.6	1.58
	4.7	3.45	1.6
	5.55	3.64	1.59
	5.4	3.72	1.58
	5	3.6	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.09 ↓ (5.6)	3.6 ↓ (3.65)	1.59 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iguatu
17.8%

Draw
25.2%

Ceará
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

24.9%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

29.9%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iguatu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iguatu than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceará could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Iguatu - Ceará Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Iguatu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ceará have a series of guest games.

In this match Ceará is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Iguatu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Iguatu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Iguatu
Copa do Brasil
09.03.23	Santos - Iguatu	3:0 ✺
02.03.23	Iguatu - América RN	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
25.02.23	Iguatu - Atlético Cearense	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Atlético Cearense - Iguatu	1:2 ✺
07.02.23	Iguatu - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWWWW
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.03.23	Vitória Salvador - Ceará	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Ceará - Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	Caldense - Ceará	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.02.23	Fluminense Piaui - Ceará	2:5 ✺
17.02.23	CRB Maceio - Ceará	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
26.02.22	Iguatu - Ceará	2:0 penalties
22.02.22	Ceará - Iguatu	2:1
13.03.18	Ceará - Iguatu	3:3
21.01.18	Iguatu - Ceará	2:1

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