Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Caudal Deportivo		San Martín

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.25	7.3
	1.38	4.43	7.31
	1.42	4.36	6.86	Watch
	1.35	4.25	7.95
	1.61	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.55)	4.18 ↑ (3.6)	6.88 ↑ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Caudal Deportivo
64.6%

Draw
22%

San Martín
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.2%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

25.5%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caudal Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caudal Deportivo's performance.

San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caudal Deportivo than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caudal Deportivo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Caudal Deportivo - San Martín Predictions

Users Predictions: Caudal Deportivo will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Caudal Deportivo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, (Pen),
14', 1 - 1, ⚽,
14', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
68', 3 - 1, ⚽,
89', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caudal Deportivo won 2.

Caudal Deportivo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

San Martín is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Caudal Deportivo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Caudal Deportivo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:3. (average 2.2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Caudal Deportivo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caudal Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
09.11.25	Covadonga - Caudal Deportivo	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Caudal Deportivo - Avilés Stadium	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Caudal Deportivo - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
26.10.25	Llanera - Caudal Deportivo	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Caudal Deportivo - Real Titánico	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLW
- EI San Martín
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
09.11.25	San Martín - Club Siero	5:2 ✺
02.11.25	Navarro - San Martín	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	San Martín - Gijón Industrial	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Praviano - San Martín	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	San Martín - Lenense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
09.02.25	San Martín - Caudal Deportivo	0:1
29.09.24	Caudal Deportivo - San Martín	0:0
09.04.22	San Martín - Caudal Deportivo	1:4
28.11.21	Caudal Deportivo - San Martín	2:2
Club Friendly
15.09.20	San Martín - Caudal Deportivo	Canceled
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
07.01.19	Caudal Deportivo - San Martín	6:0

Caudal Deportivo - San Martín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide