Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 24

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Prato		Certaldo

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.5	4.5
	1.6	3.55	4.91
	1.62	3.5	4.75
	1.66	3.44	4.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.67)	3.5 ↑ (3.35)	4.77 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prato
55.4%

Draw
25.8%

Certaldo
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

27.2%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

26.3%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Certaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prato than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Certaldo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Prato is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Certaldo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Prato is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Prato won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Prato
Italian Serie D - Group D
18.02.24	Sammaurese - Prato	1:3 ✺
04.02.24	Prato - Progresso	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Aglianese - Prato	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Prato - Mezzolara	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Ravenna - Prato	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLTL
- ASD Calcio Certaldo
Italian Serie D - Group D
18.02.24	Certaldo - Sangiuliano City Nova	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Imolese - Certaldo	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Progresso - Certaldo	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Mezzolara - Certaldo	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Certaldo - Sammaurese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
22.10.23	Certaldo - Prato	1:0

Prato - Certaldo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide