Match Info

Date: 22 December 2021, Wednesday


	Cavese		Cittanovese

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.5
	1.68	3.4	4.5
	1.69	3.35	4.2
	1.67	3.31	4.42
	1.67	3.2	4.6
	1.69	3.56	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.03)	3.37 ↑ (3.2)	4.31 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavese
52.6%

Draw
26.6%

Cittanovese
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

29.1%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

19.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cavese's performance.

Cittanovese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-22%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cavese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittanovese than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cittanovese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cavese - Cittanovese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 6).

Recent matches Cavese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cittanovese is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cavese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cavese have a series of guest games.

In this match Cavese is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group I
19.12.21	Città di SantAgata - Cavese	0:0 ✺
12.12.21	Paternò - Cavese	1:0 ✺
08.12.21	Cavese - FC Messina	Cavese awarded ✺
05.12.21	Lamezia Terme - Cavese	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Cavese - Real Agro Aversa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TL?TW
- Cittanovese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
19.12.21	Cittanovese - Real Agro Aversa	2:1 ✺
12.12.21	Portici - Cittanovese	0:2 ✺
08.12.21	Cittanovese - Lamezia Terme	2:2 ✺
04.12.21	San Luca - Cittanovese	1:1 ✺
28.11.21	Cittanovese - Gelbison Cilento	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTTT

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