Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 17

Date: 21 December 2022, Wednesday


	Cittanovese		Lamezia Terme

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.6
	2.5	3.15	2.58
	2.38	3.14	2.68
	2.5	3	2.62
	2.65	2.9	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (3.15)	3.04 ↓ (3.14)	2.63 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittanovese
36%

Draw
29.7%

Lamezia Terme
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

30%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittanovese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cittanovese's performance.

Lamezia Terme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lamezia Terme might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittanovese than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cittanovese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lamezia Terme than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lamezia Terme could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cittanovese - Lamezia Terme Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cittanovese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Cittanovese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cittanovese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
18.12.22	Canicattì - Cittanovese	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Cittanovese - Castrovillari	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Cittanovese - Città di SantAgata	2:2 ✺
27.11.22	Paternò - Cittanovese	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
09.11.22	Lamezia Terme - Cittanovese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTTWL
- FC Lamezia Terme
Italian Serie D - Group I
18.12.22	Lamezia Terme - Città di SantAgata	2:2 ✺
11.12.22	Paternò - Lamezia Terme	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Lamezia Terme - Locri	1:3 ✺
13.11.22	Vibonese - Lamezia Terme	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
09.11.22	Lamezia Terme - Cittanovese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie D
09.11.22	Lamezia Terme - Cittanovese	3:0
Italian Serie D - Group I
24.04.22	Lamezia Terme - Cittanovese	3:0
08.12.21	Cittanovese - Lamezia Terme	2:2

Cittanovese - Lamezia Terme: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide