Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 13

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Cavese		Sarrabus Ogliastra

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.75	3.48	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 (1.73)	3.43 ↓ (3.5)	4.05 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavese
51.7%

Draw
26.2%

Sarrabus Ogliastra
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.9%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

25%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Sarrabus Ogliastra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarrabus Ogliastra than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Cavese - Sarrabus Ogliastra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).

Cavese in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sarrabus Ogliastra is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cavese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cavese is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cavese to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group G
19.11.23	Budoni - Cavese	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
15.11.23	Cavese - Rotonda	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
12.11.23	Cavese - Flaminia Civita Castellana	3:1 ✺
01.11.23	Cavese - Nocerina	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Ostia Mare - Cavese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW
- Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italian Serie D - Group G
19.11.23	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Boreale	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Cynthialbalonga - Sarrabus Ogliastra	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Budoni	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Ardea - Sarrabus Ogliastra	0:2 ✺
22.10.23	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Nocerina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTTWW

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