Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Sarrabus Ogliastra		Budoni

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	3.95
	1.89	3.37	3.76
	1.85	3.3	3.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.84)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)	3.86 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarrabus Ogliastra
48.9%

Draw
27.6%

Budoni
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

27.8%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

26.9%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarrabus Ogliastra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Budoni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarrabus Ogliastra than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Budoni than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Sarrabus Ogliastra - Budoni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Santoro G. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: )).

Sarrabus Ogliastra is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Budoni's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Budoni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sarrabus Ogliastra is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sarrabus Ogliastra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Sarrabus Ogliastra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Budoni	6	2	1	3	10:13	-3	7
15	Sarrabus Ogliastra	6	1	2	3	5:8	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italian Serie D - Group G
29.03.26	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Nocerina	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Montespaccato - Sarrabus Ogliastra	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Albalonga	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Palmese 1914 - Sarrabus Ogliastra	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Trastevere	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTWTW
- Budoni Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
02.04.26	Budoni - Valmontone	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Cassino - Budoni	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Budoni - Real Monterotondo	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Budoni - Montespaccato	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Olbia - Budoni	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
30.11.25	Budoni - Sarrabus Ogliastra	4:0
17.03.24	Budoni - Sarrabus Ogliastra	0:1
05.11.23	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Budoni	0:0

Sarrabus Ogliastra - Budoni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide