Match Info

Date: 6 February 2022, Sunday


	Santa Maria Cilento		Cavese

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.87	2.75
	2.4	3	2.75
	2.47	2.95	2.6
	2.54	3.01	2.59
	2.6	3.08	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.68)	2.98 ↑ (2.82)	2.67 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Maria Cilento
36.2%

Draw
30.1%

Cavese
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

31.2%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

21.9%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Maria Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Maria Cilento than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Maria Cilento that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cavese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santa Maria Cilento - Cavese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Santa Maria Cilento is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cavese is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santa Maria Cilento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Cavese have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santa Maria Cilento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Maria Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group I
02.02.22	Lamezia Terme - Santa Maria Cilento	2:1 ✺
30.01.22	Santa Maria Cilento - Real Agro Aversa	0:0 ✺
26.01.22	Biancavilla - Santa Maria Cilento	0:0 ✺
23.01.22	Santa Maria Cilento - Gelbison Cilento	0:0 ✺
08.12.21	Santa Maria Cilento - Licata	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTTTW
- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group I
30.01.22	Rende - Cavese	0:1 ✺
23.01.22	Acireale - Cavese	1:2 ✺
22.12.21	Cavese - Cittanovese	2:1 ✺
19.12.21	Città di SantAgata - Cavese	0:0 ✺
12.12.21	Paternò - Cavese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
03.10.21	Cavese - Santa Maria Cilento	1:0

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