Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 August 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Caxias		Ceilândia

	1	X	2
	1.87	3	3.8
	1.8	3.1	4.15
	1.81	3.01	4.19
	1.9	2.97	4.5
	2	2.85	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.68)	2.99 ↓ (3.35)	4.13 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias
48%

Draw
30.2%

Ceilândia
21.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54%

27.1%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

26.6%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caxias's form might have worsened.

Ceilândia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caxias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Caxias - Ceilândia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Ceilândia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Caxias is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie D
06.08.23	Caxias - Internacional de Limeira	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Internacional de Limeira - Caxias	0:1 ✺
22.07.23	Caxias - São-Joseense	2:1 ✺
16.07.23	Concórdia - Caxias	4:0 ✺
08.07.23	Caxias - Aimoré	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWLW
- Ceilândia
Brazilian Serie D
05.08.23	Ceilândia - Vitória ES	3:0 ✺
29.07.23	Vitória ES - Ceilândia	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Iporá - Ceilândia	1:1 ✺
16.07.23	Ceilândia - União Rondonópolis	2:0 ✺
09.07.23	Real Ariquemes - Ceilândia	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTWW

Caxias - Ceilândia

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Caxias - Ceilândia Predictions

Preview

Form

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