Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ceilândia		Vitória ES

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.5	7
	1.33	4.5	7
	1.39	3.97	6.39
	1.37	4.5	7.5
	1.36	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.8)	4.44 ↑ (3.25)	6.88 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceilândia
66.5%

Draw
20.3%

Vitória ES
13.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.9%

28.2%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

28.9%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceilândia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceilândia's performance.

Vitória ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória ES might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceilândia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória ES than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória ES could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ceilândia - Vitória ES Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Recent matches Ceilândia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vitória ES is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Ceilândia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ceilândia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceilândia
Brazilian Serie D
29.07.23	Vitória ES - Ceilândia	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Iporá - Ceilândia	1:1 ✺
16.07.23	Ceilândia - União Rondonópolis	2:0 ✺
09.07.23	Real Ariquemes - Ceilândia	0:7 ✺
24.06.23	Ceilândia - Brasiliense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTWWT
- Vitória ES
Brazilian Serie D
29.07.23	Vitória ES - Ceilândia	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Resende - Vitória ES	1:2 ✺
15.07.23	Vitória ES - Santo André	3:1 ✺
09.07.23	Vitória ES - Noroeste	2:0 ✺
03.07.23	Democrata GV - Vitória ES	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
29.07.23	Vitória ES - Ceilândia	1:0

Ceilândia - Vitória ES

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Ceilândia - Vitória ES Predictions

Preview

Form

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