The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Iporá 23.7%
Draw 26.2%
Ceilândia 50.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.7%
28.6%
47.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.9%
27.7%
49.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Iporá have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Ceilândia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iporá than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
Iporá is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ceilândia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ceilândia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Ceilândia is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Iporá won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Iporá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.