Match Info

Date: 18 October 2020, Sunday


	Caxias		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.5
	2	2.9	3.7
	2.05	2.9	3.6
	2.11	2.98	3.74
	2.1	3.4	3.1
	2.04	3.22	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.12)	3.06 ↓ (3.3)	3.52 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias
44.3%

Draw
29.8%

Grêmio Novorizontino
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

19.9%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caxias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio Novorizontino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Caxias is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Novorizontino is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Novorizontino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Caxias will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie D
14.10.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Caxias	1:0 ✺
10.10.20	Joinville - Caxias	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Caxias - São Luiz	1:2 ✺
01.10.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Caxias	1:2 ✺
27.09.20	Caxias - Atlético Tubarão	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLWW
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie D
14.10.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - São Luiz	1:0 ✺
03.10.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
30.09.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Tubarão	1:0 ✺
26.09.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
19.09.20	Joinville - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
12.10.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ponte Preta	✺
08.10.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Grêmio Novorizontino	✺

Caxias - Grêmio Novorizontino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide