The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Náutico Marcílio Dias 35.3%
Draw 32.9%
Caxias 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
34.3%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
36.1%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
42.9%
42.9%
Náutico Marcílio Dias - Caxias Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Marcílio Dias will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Caxias will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
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Preview
Recent matches Marcílio Dias is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Caxias is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Caxias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Marcílio Dias won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Marcílio Dias won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
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