Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 18

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	Cayón		Zamora

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.87	1.93
	4	3	2	Watch
	4.29	2.81	2.04
	4.29	2.81	2.04
	3.9	2.9	1.91
	4.12	2.9	1.98
	4.1	2.95	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.31)	2.89 ↓ (3)	1.97 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cayón
22.4%

Draw
31.5%

Zamora
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

29.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

28.2%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cayón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cayón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Cayón - Zamora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Zamora is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cayón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cayón
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.01.24	Langreo - Cayón	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Cayón - Valladolid B	3:2 ✺
10.12.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Cayón	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Cayón - Athletic Bilbao	0:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.12.23	Cayón - RC Villalbes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TWTLW
- Zamora CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.01.24	Arandina - Zamora	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Zamora - Langreo	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Zamora - Marino de Luanco	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	Valladolid B - Zamora	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	Zamora - Rayo Cantabria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.09.23	Zamora - Cayón	1:0

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