Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 16

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Cayón		Valladolid B

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.35
	2.65	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.62	3.15	2.69
	2.62	3.14	2.69
	2.54	3.2	2.53
	2.65	3.2	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (3.09)	3.2 ↑ (2.88)	2.54 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cayón
35.1%

Draw
28.7%

Valladolid B
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

31.2%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

31%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cayón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cayón's performance.

Valladolid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cayón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Cayón - Valladolid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Cayón is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Valladolid B is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Valladolid B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cayón
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.12.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Cayón	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Cayón - Athletic Bilbao	0:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.12.23	Cayón - RC Villalbes	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	Deportivo A Coruña B - Cayón	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Cayón - Ourense CF	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWLL
- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.12.23	Valladolid B - Langreo	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Valladolid B - Zamora	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Valladolid B	0:1 ✺
18.11.23	Valladolid B - RC Villalbes	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	Deportivo A Coruña B - Valladolid B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WWWLW

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