Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 24 May 2026, Sunday
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Tropezón |
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Guarnizo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.1 |
2.88 |
3.5 |
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2.2 |
2.72 |
3.76 |
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2.08 |
2.86 |
4.01 |
 Watch |
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2.1 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
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2.17 |
2.75 |
3.64 |
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1.74 |
3.05 |
4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.74) |
2.86 ↓
(3.05) |
3.72 ↓
(4) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tropezón
43.9% | Draw
31.7% | Guarnizo
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tropezón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tropezón's form might have worsened.Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tropezón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)Tropezón - Guarnizo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 56', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 73', 🟥,
- 90+9', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 0-0.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 1.Tropezón has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Guarnizo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). In this match, Tropezón is considered a favorite.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.2:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Tropezón won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tropezon | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 15 |
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| 13 | Guarnizo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Tropezón - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 | | | 17.05.26 | Guarnizo - Tropezón | 0:0 | | 07.03.26 | Guarnizo - Tropezón | 1:0 | | 25.10.25 | Tropezón - Guarnizo | 0:3 | | 27.04.25 | Guarnizo - Tropezón | 1:1 | | 15.12.24 | Tropezón - Guarnizo | 2:0 | | 28.01.24 | Tropezón - Guarnizo | 0:0 | | 09.09.23 | Guarnizo - Tropezón | 1:0 |
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