Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 6

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	Cayón		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.85
	3.75	3.5	1.9
	3.92	3.23	1.94
	3.78	3.34	1.86
	3.7	3.35	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↓ (4.2)	3.34 ↓ (3.54)	1.89 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cayón
24.3%

Draw
27.3%

Real Avilés
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

26%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

25.9%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cayón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Cayón - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Cayón is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Real Avilés is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cayón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Avilés is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cayón
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.09.23	Real Oviedo B - Cayón	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Cayón - Pontevedra	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Coruxo - Cayón	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Cayón - Guijuelo	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Zamora - Cayón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTLL
- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.10.23	Real Avilés - Langreo	2:2 ✺
24.09.23	Valladolid B - Real Avilés	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Real Avilés - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	RC Villalbes - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Real Avilés - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLTT

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