Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Real Avilés		Gimnástica de Torrelavega

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.8
	1.99	3.2	3.9
	1.95	3.18	3.85	Watch
	1.94	3.13	4.08
	1.95	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.63)	3.14 ↓ (3.66)	3.89 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
47%

Draw
29.3%

Gimnástica de Torrelavega
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

25.2%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

24.4%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Avilés's form might have worsened.

Gimnástica de Torrelavega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnástica de Torrelavega's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Avilés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnástica de Torrelavega, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Avilés - Gimnástica de Torrelavega Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Santamaria A. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Carracedo O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 1 - 2, Hernandez U. ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, Josin ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Real Avilés is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Torrelavega is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Real Avilés is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Avilés won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Avilés won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.02.25	Laredo - Real Avilés	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Real Avilés - Salamanca	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Llanera - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Real Avilés - Bergantiños	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Coruxo - Real Avilés	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWTWT
- Gimnástica de Torrelavega
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.02.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Guijuelo	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Rayo Cantabria - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Escobedo	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Marino de Luanco - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Langreo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.10.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Real Avilés	1:3
28.01.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Real Avilés	1:1
16.09.23	Real Avilés - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:1
12.02.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Real Avilés	1:1
24.09.22	Real Avilés - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	3:0

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