Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 12

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Cayón		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.85	2.2
	3.4	3	2.2
	3.66	2.93	2.2
	3.66	2.88	2.2
	3.4	3	2.11
	3.4	2.9	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↓ (3.66)	2.93 ↓ (3.02)	2.18 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cayón
26.7%

Draw
31.3%

Ourense CF
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

30.1%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

30.1%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cayón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Cayón - Ourense CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Cayón is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ourense CF is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ourense CF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ourense CF will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cayón
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.11.23	Compostela - Cayón	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Cayón - Covadonga	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Ursaria - Cayón	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.10.23	Arandina - Cayón	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Cayón - Marino de Luanco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWWTT
- Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.11.23	Ourense CF - Langreo	3:0 ✺
05.11.23	Valladolid B - Ourense CF	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Ourense CF - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	RC Villalbes - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Ourense CF - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWTW

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