Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadionul Ceahlăul (Piatra Neamţ)


	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ		CSM Satu Mare

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.5	3.75
	1.81	3.62	3.78	Watch
	1.78	3.62	3.84	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)	3.56 ↑ (3.55)	3.84 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
50.8%

Draw
25.6%

CSM Satu Mare
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

25.2%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

24.7%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

CSM Satu Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSM Satu Mare than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ - CSM Satu Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ailenei I. (G) 14. Anton A. 25. Asibey E. 8. Copot Barb C. (C) 18. Davordzie C. 28. Filip R. 80. Matis R. 22. Munteanu R. 24. Sandru M. 7. Suciu A. 34. Telcean T.	22. Railean D. (G) 14. Calugher V. 8. Copaci P. 18. Magyari S. 67. Marin M. 26. Oanea C. 99. Pop A. 70. Staiculescu D. 25. Toma D. 76. Torvund A. 11. Zsiga E. (C)
Substitutes
3. Alistar T. 67. Barna A. (G) 94. Buterchi R. 11. Cretu G. 20. Granja R. 6. Moussinga P. 4. Pintea C. 98. Sousa R. 9. Yolou T.	. Bontas K. . Deaky Z. (G) . Hosu M. . Mustaca R. . Pinter B. . Todoran D. . Vasalie A. . Zab . Zamfir C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', 🟨,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Matis R. ↓, Cretu G. ↑,
46', Filip R. ↓, Moussinga P. ↑,
48', 🟨,
68', Zsiga E. ↓, Mustaca R. ↑,
72', Anton A. ↓, Granja R. ↑,
77', Torvund A. ↓, Vasalie A. ↑,
81', 🟨,
82', Suciu A. ↓, Yolou T. ↑,
82', Telcean T. ↓, Alistar T. ↑,
86', 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 0, Davordzie C. (Pen),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 22 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: )).

Ceahlăul is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

CSM Satu Mare is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ceahlăul is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
Romanian Division 2
25.10.25	Viitorul Șelimbăr - Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ - Corvinul Hunedoara	2:3 ✺
05.10.25	Sepsi OSK - Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ - Chindia Târgoviște	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	ASA Târgu Mureș - Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- CSM Satu Mare
Romanian Division 2
25.10.25	CSM Satu Mare - Steaua București	1:4 ✺
18.10.25	Muscelul Câmpulung Elite - CSM Satu Mare	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	CSM Satu Mare - Dumbrăviţa	1:4 ✺
27.09.25	Metalul Buzău - CSM Satu Mare	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Viitorul Șelimbăr - CSM Satu Mare	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLLWT

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